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RKLB

Rocket Lab Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 82.83 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 82.83
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 63.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 95.00
Thesis breakA failed Neutron first flight, a material contract loss, or a dilutive equity ra...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case24%10 / 1002.4
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • $397 million U.S. Space Force contract win
  • $8 billion definitive agreement to acquire Iridium
  • Q1 2026 EPS beat of 12.5% ($-0.07 actual vs. $-0.08 est.)
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.