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RKLB

Rocket Lab Corp

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 64.95 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 64.95
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 55.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 85.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter slip in Neutron first launch beyond currently communic...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • US Space Force $266 million multi-launch contract awarded July 2026
  • Third multi-launch Electron booking with iQPS announced July 2026
  • Q1 2026 EPS beat to -$0.07 with revenue $200.35M (+63.4% YoY)
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