RGTI
Rigetti Computing Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 9.62
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 28% | 10 / 100 | 2.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- $100M CHIPS Act funding/LOI with U.S. Department of Commerce
- 108-qubit system availability and Q2 2026 revenue growth to $5.14M
- Robust cash reserves of $541M+ with zero debt