RGTI
Rigetti Computing Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 17.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 13.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 18.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated by a named loss of a material commercial or government...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 21% | 100 / 100 | 21.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 29% | 10 / 100 | 2.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Novera QPU deliveries and government contracts driving revenue growth
- Q2 2026 EPS of -$0.05 met estimates with revenue of $5.14M beating $5.09M consensus
- Analyst consensus Moderate Buy with average 12-month price target of $28.28