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RNO

Renault SA

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today EUR 27.26 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - ManufacturersAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 27.26
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 24.33
Trim >=take some off
EUR 29.00
Thesis breakA confirmed H1 2026 EPS loss, evidence of structural margin compression, or a su...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • H1 2026 earnings beat on revenue and margin with guidance confirmed
  • Analyst consensus price target of 39.2 EUR implying material upside
  • Full year 2025 reported EPS loss of EUR 39.99
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.