RDW
Redwire Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 13.59
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 9.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.00
Thesis breakLoss of a named major US government programme that drives a material reduction i...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 33% | 10 / 100 | 3.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 revenue growth of 89.6% year-over-year
- Q2 2026 EPS miss at -$0.19 versus estimate of -$0.16
- Analyst Buy ratings with average price targets of $14.88-$15.67