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RBC

RBC Bearings Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 489.17 Industrials - Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 489.17
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 460.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 580.00
Thesis breakA sustained deceleration in aerospace and defence organic growth below the low-d...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Aerospace and defense segment growth driven by new contracts and VACCO acquisition integration
  • Acquisition of PSC Couplings, LLC
  • Q4 FY2026 adjusted EPS beat of $3.62 vs $3.32 and revenue beat of $518M vs $506.26M; Q1 FY27 EPS beat of +3.88 vs +3.43
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