RBC
RBC Bearings Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 489.17
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 460.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 580.00
Thesis breakA sustained deceleration in aerospace and defence organic growth below the low-d...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Aerospace and defense segment growth driven by new contracts and VACCO acquisition integration
- Acquisition of PSC Couplings, LLC
- Q4 FY2026 adjusted EPS beat of $3.62 vs $3.32 and revenue beat of $518M vs $506.26M; Q1 FY27 EPS beat of +3.88 vs +3.43