RBC
RBC Bearings Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 567.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 478.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 595.00
Thesis breakA disclosed loss of a major aerospace or defence platform customer, or FY2027 re...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Quarterly earnings beat with revenues 2.0% above expectations at US$520m and EPS 13% above forecast at US$3.20
- Consensus revenue forecast of US$2.13b for 2027 (+8.8%) and EPS growth of 18% to US$11.97
- Record $1B+ backlog driven by defense and industrial demand