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RBC

RBC Bearings Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 567.25 Industrials - Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 567.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 478.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 595.00
Thesis breakA disclosed loss of a major aerospace or defence platform customer, or FY2027 re...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Quarterly earnings beat with revenues 2.0% above expectations at US$520m and EPS 13% above forecast at US$3.20
  • Consensus revenue forecast of US$2.13b for 2027 (+8.8%) and EPS growth of 18% to US$11.97
  • Record $1B+ backlog driven by defense and industrial demand
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