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QCOM

Qualcomm Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 177.14 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 177.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 158.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 205.00
Thesis breakA loss of a major smartphone or automotive customer programme, a sustained earni...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Strategic multi-generation data center CPU supply agreement with Meta (Dragonfly C1000 production H2 2028)
  • Acquisition of Modular Inc with up to 19.2M shares
  • Q3 2026 EPS beat of +5.74% ($2.21 actual vs $2.09 est) and prior-quarter beats
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