QCOM
Qualcomm Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 177.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 158.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 205.00
Thesis breakA loss of a major smartphone or automotive customer programme, a sustained earni...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic multi-generation data center CPU supply agreement with Meta (Dragonfly C1000 production H2 2028)
- Acquisition of Modular Inc with up to 19.2M shares
- Q3 2026 EPS beat of +5.74% ($2.21 actual vs $2.09 est) and prior-quarter beats