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QCOM

Qualcomm Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 167.86 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 167.86
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 139.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 175.00
Thesis breakLoss of a major Android OEM design slot, a material adverse outcome in QTL licen...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case27%100 / 10027.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Price increases across chips starting September 1 to offset rising costs
  • Q3 2026 EPS of $2.21 missed consensus by $0.02 with light forward guidance of $2.05-$2.25
  • Revenue of $9.95B beat estimates but declined 4% YoY amid memory supply crunch
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