PRU
Prudential Financial Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 122.41
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 100.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 118.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis is invalidated if PGIM reports two or more consecutive qua...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Prudential Financial to acquire full ownership of Deerpath Capital
- Earnings beat and guidance: Q2 2026 EPS of $4.08 vs est $3.35 (+21.79% beat); lowered expected 2026 loss to $1.55B
- Strong financial growth: Net income +140.2% and EPS +144.9% (ttm)