PRTA
Prothena Corporation PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 8.23
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.63
Trim >=take some off
USD 12.50
Thesis breakA failed Phase 3 or Phase 2 read-out on a partner-led programme, or a regulatory...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Board authorized up to $100 million share repurchase plan
- Roche initiated Phase 3 PARAISO trial evaluating prasinezumab in early-stage Parkinson's disease
- Novo Nordisk initiated Phase 3 CLEOPATTRA trial evaluating coramitug in ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy