PRTA
Prothena Corporation PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 8.76
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.00
Thesis breakA negative pivotal readout on a registrational amyloid asset, an unfavourable FD...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnerships with Roche, Novo Nordisk and Bristol Myers Squibb providing development support
- Analyst consensus Hold rating with average price target of $21.4 representing 144% upside
- TTM revenue of $57.9m with 125% 5-year CAGR and next estimate $72.1m