LON:PXEN
Prospex Energy PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
5.24p
Buy <=wait / entry
3.83p
Trim >=take some off
5.50p
Thesis breakA material counterparty failure or delivery shortfall under the Hera gas sales a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- New 12-month gas sales agreement signed with Hera Trading for Selva Malvezzi production (Prospex subsidiaries hold 17% and 20% interests)
- Producing assets located in Italy, Spain and Poland
- Technical buy candidate rating with recent price momentum and 1y target estimate of 19.00