PG
Procter & Gamble Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 145.79
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 136.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 152.00
Thesis breakA confirmed acceleration of organic volume decline for two consecutive quarters ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 22% | 10 / 100 | 2.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Revenue miss of $21.2 billion vs $21.38 billion expected with organic revenue unchanged due to flat volume
- Adjusted EPS beat of $1.43 vs $1.41 expected alongside reported net income decline
- Shares fell roughly 3% in morning trading following the mixed quarterly results