PG
Procter & Gamble Co
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 144.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 136.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 152.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of negative organic sales growth combined with fiscal 2...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 67 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- FY2026 net sales +3%, organic sales +1%, core EPS +1% with Q4 organic sales flat at 0%
- FY2027 guidance for progress on sales, profit and cash return despite volatility
- Analyst consensus price target $163.65 (16-23 analysts) with mixed Buy/Hold ratings