POWL
Powell Industries Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 207.22
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 166.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 230.00
Thesis breakA sustained quarterly bookings run-rate below $500 million for two consecutive q...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record $934 million new orders (nearly 3x YoY) driving backlog to record $2.4 billion
- Revenue rose 9% YoY to $312 million with gross margin at 30.6%
- Capacity expansions including Jacintoport and new leased facility to support backlog