PFE
Pfizer Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 26.76
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 24.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.00
Thesis breakA cut to Pfizer's FY2026 revenue or adjusted EPS guidance, a Phase III failure i...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $0.77 vs est $0.68 (+13.24%)
- Consensus Buy rating from 28 analysts with average price target $28.64
- Operational revenue growth of 7% excluding COVID products driven by key brands