PFE
Pfizer Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 28.83
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 25.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 30.00
Thesis breakA dividend cut, a cancelled Metsera transaction, or a pivotal oncology readout f...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Acquisition of Metsera (Sep 2025) for obesity and metabolic diseases
- Strategic licensing deals: Exclusive global collaboration and license agreement with YaoPharma; global strategic collaboration with Innovent Biologics for oncology medicines
- Earnings and guidance changes: Q2 FY26 EPS beat (+0.77 actual vs +0.68 estimate); reaffirmed 2025 EPS guidance, 2026 revenue guidance $59.5-62.5B and adjusted EPS $2.80-3.00