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LON:PTAL

Petrotal Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 25.10p Energy - Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
25.10p
Buy <=wait / entry
20.00p
Trim >=take some off
28.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed downgrade of 2026 production guidance to below 11,000 bopd driven by...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • H1 2026 production of 13,726 bopd approximately 3% above internal budget
  • Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $43.5 million and Free Funds Flow of $32.4 million
  • 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $110-120 million from prior $30-40 million range
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.