LON:PTAL
Petrotal Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
25.65p
Buy <=wait / entry
20.00p
Trim >=take some off
30.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed, sustained decline in Bretana production below 12,000 bopd combined ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $110-120 million from $30-40 million previously
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $35.1 million, representing a 90% increase relative to the prior quarter
- Group production averaged 12,557 bopd in Q2 2026 and 14,907 bopd in Q1 2026