PTSB
Permanent tsb Group Holdings PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 2.95
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 2.39
Trim >=take some off
EUR 2.97
Thesis breakA formal indication from the Central Bank of Ireland, ECB or competition authori...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity with BAWAG deal recommended by board at EUR 2.97
- H1 2026 underlying profit before tax rose 34% YoY to EUR 68m with NII +9%
- Net interest margin expanded to 2.13% from 2.02% YoY and cost/income ratio improved to 71%