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PTSB

Permanent tsb Group Holdings PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old EUR 2.95 Financial Services - Banks - RegionalAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 2.95
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 2.39
Trim >=take some off
EUR 2.97
Thesis breakA formal indication from the Central Bank of Ireland, ECB or competition authori...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity with BAWAG deal recommended by board at EUR 2.97
  • H1 2026 underlying profit before tax rose 34% YoY to EUR 68m with NII +9%
  • Net interest margin expanded to 2.13% from 2.02% YoY and cost/income ratio improved to 71%
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