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PEP

PepsiCo Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 139.02 Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Non-AlcoholicAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 139.02
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 128.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakA second consecutive quarter of declining U.S. snacks volume combined with a FY ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case22%10 / 1002.2
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS miss at $2.20 adjusted vs $2.21 expected
  • Revenue beat at $24.18 billion vs $23.95 billion expected
  • Moderation in U.S. food and beverage performance due to consumer budget tightening from inflationary pressures
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