PEP
PepsiCo Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 139.02
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 128.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakA second consecutive quarter of declining U.S. snacks volume combined with a FY ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 22% | 10 / 100 | 2.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS miss at $2.20 adjusted vs $2.21 expected
- Revenue beat at $24.18 billion vs $23.95 billion expected
- Moderation in U.S. food and beverage performance due to consumer budget tightening from inflationary pressures