PEP
PepsiCo Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 139.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 133.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakA withdrawal of PepsiCo's 2026 full-year guidance, a second consecutive quarter ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 67 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS of $2.20 vs est $2.21 marking a miss, with company affirming fiscal 2026 financial guidance
- Moderate Buy analyst consensus and average price targets of $155-165 versus current price of 139.56
- Competitive pressures in beverages and snacks from rivals including KO, MNST, KDP and MDLZ