PEP
PepsiCo Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 142.26
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 116.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 132.00
Thesis breakA second consecutive quarter of U.S. volume decline alongside negative organic r...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 22% | 10 / 100 | 2.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Multi-year strategic partnership with Gatik for autonomous freight deployment in North America supply chain
- Acquisition of Poppi in March 2025
- JPMorgan downgrade to Neutral from Overweight with price target reduced to $138