PH
Parker-Hannifin Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 995.42
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 896.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 1050.00
Thesis breakA formal downward revision to the raised 2031 margin framework combined with two...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 73 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Acquisition of CIRCOR's Commercial and Defense Aerospace Business
- Record FY2026 results with Q4 sales of $5.76B, adjusted EPS $9.27 beat, and $12.8B backlog
- Raised long-term margin target to 30% by fiscal 2031 and FY29 targets including 27% adjusted segment operating margin