PKE
Park Aerospace Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 24.70
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 25.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 32.50
Thesis breakA material decommitment or programme loss from any one of the top-five customers...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Major new agreements, capacity expansions, and investments in new manufacturing facilities including Tulsa, Oklahoma for commercial and defense sectors
- Q1/FY2027 net sales of $18.3 million (up YoY) with net earnings of $3.5 million and 19.3% net margin driven by commercial aerospace and missile systems demand
- Needham reiterates Buy rating with $43 price target