PBLS
Parabilis Medicines Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 30.28
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 26.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 38.00
Thesis breakA negative or inconclusive ESMO data readout combined with termination of the Re...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with Regeneron via Stock Purchase Agreement for 4,166,666 shares and $50M upfront payment
- Analyst coverage initiations with Buy ratings and price targets of $40 from Guggenheim and $45 from BofA
- Oral presentation of updated Phase 1/2 zolucatetide clinical data at ESMO Congress 2026