LON:PAF
Pan African Resources plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
108.10p
Buy <=wait / entry
101.67p
Trim >=take some off
135.00p
Thesis breakFailure to complete the Emmerson acquisition on disclosed terms, a material oper...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity via proposed acquisition of Emmerson Resources Limited through scheme of arrangement
- Summarised Audited Results and Group Trading Statement for year ended 30 June 2026 showing $1.16B revenue with 114.14% growth
- Completion of Definitive Feasibility Study on Soweto Tailings Retreatment Project