PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 171.58
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 145.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 205.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by two consecutive quarters of US com...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 18% | 10 / 100 | 1.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Closed 220 deals of at least $1 million, 98 deals of at least $5 million in Q2 2026
- US commercial revenue grew 149% year-over-year to $764 million in Q2 2026
- Raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to 71% growth