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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 171.58 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 171.58
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 145.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 205.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by two consecutive quarters of US com...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case18%10 / 1001.8
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Closed 220 deals of at least $1 million, 98 deals of at least $5 million in Q2 2026
  • US commercial revenue grew 149% year-over-year to $764 million in Q2 2026
  • Raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to 71% growth
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