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PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 123.06 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
45

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 123.06
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 108.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 135.00
Thesis breakCommercial revenue growth decelerates to below 25% year-on-year for two consecut...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case10%100 / 10010.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case40%10 / 1004.0
Weighted conviction45 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for August 3, 2026
  • Analyst monitoring of accelerating commercial revenue to justify multi-hundred-times P/E multiple
  • Historical major defense and intelligence contracts with U.S. government
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.