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NYSE:PD

Pagerduty Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 15.72 Technology - Software - ApplicationAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 15.72
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 12.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 18.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by revenue growth remaining below 5% with negati...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 revenue of $125M beat guidance with first full-year GAAP profitability
  • Non-GAAP operating margin expanded ~700 bps and secured over 40 deals above $100k
  • ARR reached $498.7M with 1% YoY growth amid enterprise focus
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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