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ORCL

Oracle Corp

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 150.72 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
77

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 150.72
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 138.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 195.00
Thesis breakA material deceleration of OCI revenue growth below the guided 77% FY2026 rate, ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case47%100 / 10047.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case5%10 / 1000.5
Weighted conviction77 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • $7 billion Pentagon defence contract win
  • Record FY2026 cloud revenues $34B (+39% YoY) with OCI guidance to $18B (+77%) and multi-year ramp to $144B
  • Q4 total revenues $19.2B (+21%) and non-GAAP EPS $2.11 (+24%) with strengthened guidance
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.