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ORCL

Oracle Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 127.11 Technology - Software - InfrastructureIN BUY ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 127.11
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 133.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 180.00
Thesis breakCloud-infrastructure growth decelerates below 50% year-on-year in any quarter, F...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Oracle secured $6.9 billion software deal with U.S. Defense Department and $3.31 billion government contract
  • Record Q4 cloud infrastructure revenue $5.8B up 93% USD and FY2026 cloud infra $18.1B up 77%
  • Remaining performance obligations grew to $638 billion; Q4 EPS beat with non-GAAP $2.11 up 24%
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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