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ORCL

Oracle Corp

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 129.87 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
77

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 129.87
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 113.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 150.00
Thesis breakA material downward revision to FY2026 cloud or EPS guidance at a confirmed earn...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case47%100 / 10047.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case5%10 / 1000.5
Weighted conviction77 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 EPS beat of 11.64% (actual $2.11 vs est $1.89) with non-GAAP EPS up 24%
  • Q4 Cloud Infra (IaaS) revenue up 93% USD to $5.8B and FY2026 Cloud Infra up 77%
  • Record Remaining Performance Obligations grew to $638 billion in Q4
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.