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ONDS

Ondas Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 7.90 Technology - Communication EquipmentAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 7.90
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 6.53
Trim >=take some off
USD 9.20
Thesis breaka disclosed 10-K contract termination for convenience or a material loss on comp...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case24%10 / 1002.4
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 revenue of $83.8M beat consensus with 13x YoY growth and raised FY2026 guidance to $525-550M
  • $757M backlog plus $175M Q2 and $105M early Q3 new orders with defense program visibility
  • Planned $33M Aran Defense acquisition expected to add $26M 2026 revenue
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