ONDS
Ondas Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 5.16
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 39% | 100 / 100 | 39.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 11% | 10 / 100 | 1.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 71 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- $175 million new orders captured in Q2 2026 plus $105 million additional orders in Q3 2026
- Record Q2 2026 revenue of $83.8 million (13x YoY) with full-year 2026 guidance raised to $525-550 million
- Pro forma backlog of $757 million as of June 30 2026 including DZYNE and Cyberhawk acquisitions closed in Q3