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NYSE:OKLO

Oklo Inc

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 38.83 Utilities - Regulated ElectricAWAIT ENTRY
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 38.83
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 26.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 42.00
Thesis breakA formal NRC denial or material delay to the Aurora-INL combined licence beyond ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Oklo acquired ARMEC to expand vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities
  • Earnings or guidance changes: Q1 2026 EPS of -$0.19 met estimates but remained deeply negative; Q4 2025 missed estimates by $0.10 with $0 revenue
  • Macro or sector drivers: Positioned in nuclear for decarbonization and AI-power demand per analyst commentary
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.