NYSEAMERICAN:OPTT
Ocean Power Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 0.32
Buy <=wait / entry
-
Trim >=take some off
-
Thesis breaknot set
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 33% | 10 / 100 | 3.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Government or defence contract momentum via selection as potential awardee under $40M US Navy IDIQ for autonomous ocean mapping
- Backlog surges noted in March 2026 earnings call
- Earnings miss with reported EPS of -0.05 EUR versus estimate of -0.02 EUR and deepening losses