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NVDA

NVIDIA Corp

BUY 2026-08-14 Data 29 days old USD 224.88 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
69

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 224.88
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 185.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 245.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of data-centre revenue growth below 30% year-on-year, o...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case36%100 / 10036.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case12%10 / 1001.2
Weighted conviction69 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Record Q1 2026 revenue of $81.6 billion (+85% YoY) and Data Center revenue of $75.2 billion (+92% YoY)
  • $80.0 billion additional share repurchase authorization and quarterly dividend increase to $0.25 per share
  • Strong Buy consensus from 37 analysts with average 12-month price target of $308.69
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.