SMR
Nuscale Power Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 9.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.50
Thesis breakA dilutive equity raise materially larger than historical issuance patterns, or ...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 12% | 100 / 100 | 12.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 40% | 10 / 100 | 4.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 46 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Absence of any binding customer contracts to deliver NPMs
- Q2 2026 EPS of -$0.13 meeting estimates with no positive surprise
- Analyst consensus Hold rating and $12.28 average 12-month price target