NOC
Northrop Grumman Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 544.75
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 506.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 580.00
Thesis breakA material cancellation or restructuring of a named sole-source programme (B-21 ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- $3 billion new missile defense contracts secured
- Record $105 billion backlog from $20 billion net quarterly awards
- Q2 earnings beat and raised full-year guidance