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NOC

Northrop Grumman Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 549.13 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
68

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 549.13
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 466.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 560.00
Thesis breakA confirmed Nunn-McCurdy cost breach on the Sentinel ICBM programme, a US Depart...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case37%100 / 10037.0
Base case47%62 / 10029.1
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction68 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • $3 billion agreements to accelerate missile interceptor production
  • Record $104.7B backlog with raised 2026 sales and segment operating income guidance after Q2 2026 results
  • Q2 2026 EPS of $7.68 and revenue of $10.9B both beating estimates; fifth consecutive quarter of EPS beats
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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