NOC
Northrop Grumman Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 542.48
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 503.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 590.00
Thesis breakA material adverse modification, cancellation, or sustained cost-growth event on...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS of $7.68 beat consensus $6.82 by $0.86 with revenue $10.88B
- Order backlog of $95.68 billion supporting long-duration defense programs
- Consensus Buy rating from 16 analysts with average price target $676.29