Coverage / NIO / Trade Card

NIO

Nio Inc - ADR

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 4.74 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - ManufacturersAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 4.74
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 3.92
Trim >=take some off
USD 4.95
Thesis breakA confirmed deeply dilutive equity raise at a meaningful discount to the prevail...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Strong +422.22% EPS surprise and +4.21% revenue surprise in latest quarterly report
  • Analyst consensus 12-month price target of 7.45 USD from current price of 4.74
  • High annual cash burn of $1-2B disclosed in SEC risk factors
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.