NIO
Nio Inc - ADR
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 2.90
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q3 2026 deliveries rose 25.4% YoY to 109178 vehicles
- First quarter EPS of ?0.290 beat analyst estimate by ?0.38
- Average analyst price target of 7.45 USD implies 47.75% upside