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NIO

Nio Inc - ADR

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old USD 2.90 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - Manufacturers
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 2.90
Buy <=wait / entry
-
Trim >=take some off
-
Thesis breaknot set
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 2026 deliveries rose 25.4% YoY to 109178 vehicles
  • First quarter EPS of ?0.290 beat analyst estimate by ?0.38
  • Average analyst price target of 7.45 USD implies 47.75% upside
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