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NKE

Nike Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 41.70 Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
55

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 41.70
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 40.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 48.00
Thesis breakA confirmed loss of one or more of the top three US wholesale customers disclose...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case47%62 / 10029.1
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • J.P. Morgan downgrade to Underweight from Neutral with $40 price target
  • Exane BNP Paribas highlights Nike changes in China as strategic misstep
  • Consensus analyst ratings mostly Hold with targets clustered $40-48
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.