NICL
Nichols plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1120.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
993.33p
Trim >=take some off
1180.00p
Thesis breakA sustained decline in UK stills drinks volumes such that group revenue contract...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- H1 revenue GBP89.5M with 4.7% increase
- 35% rise in interim dividend
- Analyst buy ratings from Deutsche Bank (1150p) and Berenberg (1720p)