NEE
NextEra Energy Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 85.29
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 71.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 83.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by the abandonment, material re-prici...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Proposed combination with Dominion Energy expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted EPS at closing in H2 2027
- Reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.92-$4.02 targeting the high end, with 8%+ CAGR through 2032
- US Department of Commerce and Government of Korea announce strategic investment in $22.3B Project Star energy infrastructure campus