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NEU

Newmarket Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 889.71 Basic Materials - Chemicals - SpecialtyAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 889.71
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 760.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 920.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter operating margin contraction of more than 200 basis po...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case29%100 / 10029.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 net sales of $747.1 million and net income of $133.8 million
  • Net margin of 15.80% and ROE of 24.62% outperforming PPG Industries
  • Sudden sharp changes in raw material prices adversely affecting profit margins
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.