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NEU

Newmarket Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 702.89 Basic Materials - Chemicals - SpecialtyIN BUY ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 702.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 750.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 950.00
Thesis breakA material and sustained decline in petroleum-additives demand or margins, accom...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case22%10 / 1002.2
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 revenue miss of 2.2% ($670M vs $685M expected) and EPS miss of 1.4%
  • Specialty materials segment sales growth to $67.2M in Q2 2026 from $42.0M prior year
  • Planned new aerospace/defense chemicals production facility (ammonium perchlorate and hydrazine) targeted for commissioning by end of 2026
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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