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NFLX

Netflix Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 71.71 Communication Services - EntertainmentAWAIT ENTRY
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 71.71
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 66.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 82.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of negative net subscriber additions combined with a gu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.80 vs $0.79 estimate (1.27% surprise)
  • $500 million licensing deal for The Walking Dead
  • 28 analysts with average price target $108.38 (48%+ upside from ~$73)
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.