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NFLX

Netflix Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 74.14 Communication Services - EntertainmentAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 74.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 66.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 82.00
Thesis breakSustained negative net subscriber additions in any quarter, a guidance cut that ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case27%100 / 10027.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.80 vs $0.79 est (+1.27%) with -0.16% revenue surprise
  • Consensus Buy rating from 51 analysts with average 12-month price target of 96.27
  • Multiple analyst reiterations including target reductions (Baird to $90, others at $85-$135)
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.