NEPH
Nephros Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 3.67
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 2.98
Trim >=take some off
USD 4.75
Thesis breakA confirmed loss of a named supply or distribution partnership, two consecutive ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 44% | 100 / 100 | 44.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 7% | 10 / 100 | 0.7 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with Donastar committing to Nephros as principal supplier
- Partnership agreement with WorldWater & Solar Technologies to incorporate Nephros ultrafiltration solutions
- Q4 EPS beat of $0.01 vs. estimate ($0.01) with revenue $4.7M vs. $4.11M consensus