NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 9.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.00
Thesis breakA Q2 2026 revenue print more than 10% below the USD10m guidance midpoint, the lo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 32% | 10 / 100 | 3.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- U.S. Army ALATTIS program award for 10 kV SiC power chips and domestic ultra-high-voltage manufacturing
- Q2 FY26 EPS beat of -$0.04 vs. -$0.05 estimate
- $5M strategic equity investment in another semiconductor company to deepen SiC technology and supply-chain partnership