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NVTS

Navitas Semiconductor Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 9.56 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 9.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.00
Thesis breakA Q2 2026 revenue print more than 10% below the USD10m guidance midpoint, the lo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case32%10 / 1003.2
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • U.S. Army ALATTIS program award for 10 kV SiC power chips and domestic ultra-high-voltage manufacturing
  • Q2 FY26 EPS beat of -$0.04 vs. -$0.05 estimate
  • $5M strategic equity investment in another semiconductor company to deepen SiC technology and supply-chain partnership
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