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MP

Mp Materials Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 41.37 Basic Materials - Industrial MaterialsAWAIT ENTRY
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Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 41.37
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 35.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 55.00
Thesis breakA confirmed, sustained collapse in NdPr realised pricing of more than 25% from c...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case28%10 / 1002.8
Weighted conviction56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Record NdPr production of 917 metric tons and sales of 1,006 metric tons in Q1 2026 earnings report
  • Generated $132.9 million consolidated revenue and PPA Income with $36.7 million Adjusted EBITDA in Materials Segment
  • Broke ground on 10X magnetics facility and advanced Independence operations
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.