LON:MPE

M P Evans Group PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 1798.00p Consumer Defensive - Agricultural Farm ProductsAWAIT ENTRY

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

1798.00p

Buy <=wait / entry

1566.67p

Trim >=take some off

2000.00p

Thesis breakA sustained fall in crude palm oil prices that drives group earnings back below ...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	32%	100 / 100	32.0
Base case	49%	62 / 100	30.4
Bear case	19%	10 / 100	1.9
Weighted conviction			64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

Record financial results for year ended 31 December 2025 with revenue US$370,995k and gross profit US$142,221k
Strong share price performance with YTD return 51.07% and 3-year return 162.41% outperforming FTSE 100
CPO price volatility (HIGH) as primary earnings driver from issuer risk disclosures

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.