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LON:MPE

M P Evans Group PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today 1626.00p Consumer Defensive - Agricultural Farm ProductsAWAIT ENTRY
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
1626.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1370.00p
Trim >=take some off
1750.00p
Thesis breakA sustained collapse in crude palm oil prices combined with an adverse change to...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Record profit and EPS growth with lower costs and strong cash flow in H1 results
  • Commencement of share repurchase program covering up to 5%
  • All mills RSPO-accredited with 80% of 2025 output certified sustainable
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.