LON:MPE
M P Evans Group PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1676.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1450.00p
Trim >=take some off
1750.00p
Thesis breakA sustained move in benchmark CPO prices below the all-in cost of production for...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Median analyst 12-month price target of 1,691.37 representing 0.92% upside from 1,676.00
- Q4 2018 actual EPS <GBP 0.01 and revenue GBP 42.30M with no beat/miss data available
- CPO price volatility (HIGH) as disclosed risk factor with no meaningful hedging programme