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LON:MAB1

Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 546.00p Financial Services - Financial - MortgagesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
546.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
486.67p
Trim >=take some off
600.00p
Thesis breakA renewed Bank of England tightening cycle causing UK gross mortgage completions...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case27%100 / 10027.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2025 EPS miss of GBP 0.14 vs consensus GBP 0.25
  • Q4 2025 revenue beat of GBP 169.67M vs expected GBP 159.80M with +18.98% YoY growth
  • UK interest rate cycle as dominant near-term risk directly impacting mortgage volumes and proc fee income
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