LON:MAB1
Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
546.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
486.67p
Trim >=take some off
600.00p
Thesis breakA renewed Bank of England tightening cycle causing UK gross mortgage completions...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 27% | 100 / 100 | 27.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 2025 EPS miss of GBP 0.14 vs consensus GBP 0.25
- Q4 2025 revenue beat of GBP 169.67M vs expected GBP 159.80M with +18.98% YoY growth
- UK interest rate cycle as dominant near-term risk directly impacting mortgage volumes and proc fee income