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MS

Morgan Stanley

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 210.42 Financial Services - Financial - Capital MarketsAWAIT ENTRY
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 210.42
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 190.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 232.00
Thesis breakA material cybersecurity or operational failure disclosed by the firm, or ROTCE ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Strong second quarter 2026 earnings with net revenues of $21.3 billion, EPS of $3.46 and ROTCE of 26.6%
  • Multiple analyst price target raises including BMO Capital to $250 Buy, Citi to $235 Hold and Jefferies to $261 Buy
  • Freedom Capital Markets upgrade to Buy from Hold with $245 target
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.