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MS

Morgan Stanley

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 214.56 Financial Services - Financial - Capital MarketsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 214.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 186.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 220.00
Thesis breakA multi-quarter contraction in equities trading revenues alongside negative weal...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Record Q2 earnings beat with EPS $3.46 vs $2.94 estimate and revenue $21.35B vs $19.64B estimate
  • Equities trading revenue surged 69% to record $6.3B, exceeding StreetAccount estimates by $1.9B
  • Multiple analyst price target upgrades including Barclays to $262 and UBS to $260
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.