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MOG.A

Moog Inc Class A

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 403.11 Aerospace & Defense - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 403.11
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 330.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 430.00
Thesis breakA material slowdown in backlog conversion, a loss of a named platform programme,...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case18%100 / 10018.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Twelve-month backlog increased 20% to $3.0 billion as of September 27, 2025
  • Recent analyst upgrades including JP Morgan initiating Overweight at $520 and Truist raising to $417
  • Q1 2025 sales reached $910 million with prior backlog of $2.5 billion
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.