MOG.A
Moog Inc Class A
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 389.85
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 316.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 410.00
Thesis breakA material F-35 lot deferral or formal reduction in Moog's 2026 US$4.2 billion s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Confirmation and increase of 2026 guidance for $4.2 billion net sales and $10 diluted EPS
- Locked-in positions on long-term programs including F-35 fighter jet
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with EPS of $3.72