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MOG.A

Moog Inc Class A

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 389.85 Aerospace & Defense - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 389.85
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 316.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 410.00
Thesis breakA material F-35 lot deferral or formal reduction in Moog's 2026 US$4.2 billion s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Confirmation and increase of 2026 guidance for $4.2 billion net sales and $10 diluted EPS
  • Locked-in positions on long-term programs including F-35 fighter jet
  • Q2 2026 earnings beat with EPS of $3.72
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