MDB
Mongodb Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 334.20
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 FY2026 revenue of $695.1M up 27% YoY with Atlas revenue up 29% YoY
- $1 billion increase to share repurchase program authorized by Board
- Partnership agreement with Cognition to modernize enterprise infrastructure