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MDB

Mongodb Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 398.80 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 398.80
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 316.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 430.00
Thesis breakA guidance reset on fiscal 2027 revenue or adjusted EPS, a documented softening ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2027 earnings beat with actual EPS $1.32 vs est $0.89 (48.31% surprise) and revenue $687.6M up 25% YoY
  • New Voyage AI capabilities and Search for on-premises/private cloud announced June 30 2026
  • Analyst consensus Buy rating with price targets ranging $375-$515 (Needham $430, Bank of America $450, Tigress $515)
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.