MDLZ
MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC Common Stock
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 66.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 64.00
Thesis breakA dividend cut or freeze, two consecutive quarters of organic revenue decline, o...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 67 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 FY26 EPS beat of +0.73 vs estimate +0.68
- Quarterly dividend increase to $0.52 per share
- Strong emerging market momentum and core snacks outperformance