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MDLZ

MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC Common Stock

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 66.56 Consumer Defensive - Food ConfectionersREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
67

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 66.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 64.00
Thesis breakA dividend cut or freeze, two consecutive quarters of organic revenue decline, o...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case36%100 / 10036.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction67 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 FY26 EPS beat of +0.73 vs estimate +0.68
  • Quarterly dividend increase to $0.52 per share
  • Strong emerging market momentum and core snacks outperformance
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