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MBLY

Mobileye Global Inc

BUY 2026-08-11 Data 32 days old USD 8.82 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 8.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 10.50
Thesis breakA named major OEM publicly replacing Mobileye with an in-house ADAS stack on a h...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Mahindra win and Volkswagen Group progress on robotaxi and L2++/L3 programs
  • Mentee Robotics acquisition to accelerate physical AI
  • Q1 2026 revenue +27% YoY with EPS beat and full-year guidance raise; Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.13
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.