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MBLY

Mobileye Global Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 7.94 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - PartsAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 7.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 9.00
Thesis breakLoss of a named OEM design win, a downgrade to full-year 2026 guidance, or a fur...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • New wins with Mahindra and progress with Volkswagen Group robotaxi and L2++/L3 programs
  • Acquisition of Mentee Robotics to accelerate physical AI leadership
  • Q1 2026 revenue +27% YoY with EPS beat of $0.12 vs $0.09 and raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $1.935B - $2.015B
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