MVIS
Microvision Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 3.72
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 2.80
Trim >=take some off
USD 4.80
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a public statement that the major OEM MDA wil...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Master Development Agreement with world's leading construction and mining equipment manufacturer for lidar integration in next-generation autonomous hauling solutions
- Q2 2026 revenue of $1.47 million beating consensus estimate of $1 million
- Maintained full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $10 million to $16 million