MU
Micron Technology Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 798.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 783.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 1050.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by material cancellation or underperformance of ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 14% | 10 / 100 | 1.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic Customer Agreement with General Motors for long-term memory and storage supply
- Q4 2026 EPS beat at $33.42 versus consensus $31.77 with Q1 2027 guidance of 37.15-39.15
- BNP Paribas note on memory constraints in AI inference driving recent price rebound