NYSE:MET
Metlife Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 101.87
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 82.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 102.00
Thesis breakA material crystallisation of variable annuity guarantee costs that drives adjus...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $2.43 actual versus $2.29 estimate
- Full-year 2026 variable investment income guidance of approximately $1.6 billion pre-tax
- Strong second-quarter 2026 results driven by record annuity demand