META
Meta Platforms Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 623.61
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 613.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 760.00
Thesis breakA second consecutive quarterly EPS miss combined with a material downward revisi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Firmus supply agreement for GPU compute capacity
- Multi-billion dollar deal with Google
- Q2 2026 EPS miss of $1.01 against consensus with revenue beat to $60.80B