MRL
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI SA
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 15.06
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 13.67
Trim >=take some off
EUR 16.00
Thesis breakA material, sustained rise in disclosed Madrid and Barcelona office vacancy or a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- MRL EPS grew 575% QoQ from Q1 2026 to Q2 2026 and 6.58% YoY
- MRL revenue grew 10.03% YoY from Q2 2025 to Q2 2026, outperforming peers
- Analyst consensus Strong Buy with 12-month price target of EUR 17.50