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MRCY

Mercury Systems Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 83.43 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 83.43
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 73.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 96.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of book-to-bill below 1.0, a material disclosed cyberse...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Government/defence contract momentum via awarded contracts for U.S. Space and Strategic Weapons Programs
  • Record Q4 bookings of $660 million (up 93.1% YoY) and full-year bookings of $1.5 billion (up 49.8%)
  • Record total backlog of $1.9 billion (up 38.4% YoY) with next 12-month backlog at $1 billion
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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